This simple indicator has called every bottom since 2015. It hasn't triggered yet

A simple technical indicator — the 50-week moving average crossing below the 100-week moving average — has coincided with every major bitcoin market bottom since 2015. As of April 17, 2026 that bearish crossover has not occurred, even though bitcoin has pulled back from an October peak above $126,000 to roughly $75,000 (briefly near $60,000 in February). The piece warns the absence of the signal suggests the broader bear market may not be over and the recent bounce could be temporary, though continued strength in U.S. equities and institutional demand for Bitcoin ETFs could still support a rally. The report frames the indicator as a historically reliable contrary bottom signal, not a guarantee of future outcomes.