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The S&P 500 stays under pressure as peak inflation narrative collides with US-Iran crisis

The article says the S&P 500 remains rangebound and under pressure as softer US inflation data has strengthened the peak-inflation narrative, but renewed US-Iran geopolitical tensions are offsetting the bullish rate-cut implications. Overcrowded positioning is also contributing to deleveraging and limiting upside. Technically, the index rejected resistance around 7,630 and could retreat toward 7,200 if sellers keep control, while near-term support sits around 7,475 and a break lower could target 7,357. The piece argues that continued escalation in US-Iran headlines should keep equities pressured, whereas any de-escalation could trigger a rebound and possibly new highs. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment report is the only scheduled macro catalyst mentioned, but geopolitics remain the main driver.

Category

US 500

Sentiment

Mixed

Event

Technical analysis

Reading time

1 min