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The red states racing ahead in America’s powerful wealth boom — and the states falling behind

IRS migration data for 2022–2023 show a sharp flow of people and taxable income into Southern and Sun Belt states, reshaping local economies and market dynamics. Texas and Florida led inflows — Florida added roughly $20.6 billion in taxable income while Texas gained about $5.5 billion and 56,000 residents — boosting housing demand, state tax bases and labor supply in fast-growing metros. California, New York and other coastal states saw substantial outflows (California lost ~100,000 filers and ~$12 billion in taxable income), pressuring local tax revenues and real-estate markets. The shifts have implications for municipal finances, state bond markets, housing and regional corporate activity ahead of the 2026 midterms.

Category

US 500

Sentiment

Neutral

Event

Market commentary

Reading time

1 min