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The Developed World Outside America Is Quietly Outperforming in 2026

The article argues that developed-market equities outside the U.S. are quietly outperforming in 2026, driven by strong price returns and favorable currency moves for U.S. investors. It highlights Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF (VEA.US) — nearly 3,900 holdings, a 2.9% yield and a tiny 3-basis-point fee — as a broad, low-cost way to capture that exposure. Price appreciation (VEA up 30.4% over the past year, 3.7% YTD) has outweighed the modest yield, while currency swings (euro near $1.15) are the primary source of dividend variability for U.S. holders. JPMorgan’s forecast favoring developed-market returns (7.5% vs. 6.7% for the S&P 500) reinforces the case. The market impact: investors may rotate or increase allocations into developed-market ETFs for total-return potential, though rising U.S. Treasury yields and dollar strength remain key risks to income and relative performance.

Category

Euro 50

Sentiment

Bullish

Event

Performance comparison

Reading time

1 min