Michael Burry Told Everyone to ‘Sell’ in January 2023. If You Listened, You Would Have Missed Out on the S&P 500 Nearly Doubling.
The article argues that Michael Burry’s January 2023 “sell” warning on the S&P 500 was poorly timed. At the time, the index was around 4,077 amid aggressive Fed rate hikes and recession fears, but over the next three years the benchmark rallied to above 7,600, roughly a 90% gain. The piece says Burry’s bearish thesis wasn’t unreasonable given elevated rates and weak market conditions, but the costliest error was timing. It frames the episode as a lesson for both bulls and bears: being directionally right is less important than surviving long enough for the view to play out. The broader market impact is a reminder that index exposure can be expensive to exit too early during powerful secular rallies, especially when liquidity, inflation stabilization, and AI-driven enthusiasm support risk assets.