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If Wall Street Is Wrong About AI, Would Oklo Still Be Worth Buying?

The article argues that Oklo’s investment case is heavily dependent on AI-driven power demand. Its 18 GW backlog is dominated by non-binding agreements tied to data centers, especially Switch (up to 12 GW), Meta (up to 1.2 GW), and Equinix (500 MW), with about 93% of backlog linked to AI infrastructure. The author says Oklo could still survive without an AI boom thanks to potential customers in industry, defense, utilities, and a growing radioisotope business, but the upside would shrink materially. Oklo’s valuation is presented as stretched: it had no revenue in 2025, yet carries a market cap above $7 billion and trades around 127 times forward sales based on roughly $55 million projected revenue two fiscal years out. Overall, the piece is bearish on the stock if AI demand disappoints, warning that the shares are vulnerable to any negative AI news.

Category

SpaceX

Sentiment

Bearish

Event

Market commentary

Reading time

1 min