HIVE Earnings Highlight AI Ambitions Beyond Bitcoin Mining

HIVE’s fiscal 2026 results highlight rapid top-line growth but leave investors facing mixed implications for the stock. Revenue jumped 158% to $297.8M and gross operating margin expanded to 36%, with adjusted EBITDA of $72.9M, yet GAAP net loss was $148.4M (about $221M non-cash). Management is aggressively pivoting to AI infrastructure — targeting $660M in ARR by 2028 via a 320MW GTA “Gigafactory” (>100,000 NVIDIA GPUs) and scaling its GPU cloud to 11,000 units — but the buildout carries roughly CAD $3.5B in projected costs. The report arrives as Bitcoin has weakened (average FY price $98,040 but trading below $70,000), pressuring mining margins since estimated mining breakevens are near $80,000. Market reaction is mixed: the AI pivot supports upside if execution and pricing repeatability hold, while Bitcoin exposure, heavy capex and profitability uncertainty pose near-term valuation risks.