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France Q1 preliminary GDP 0.0% vs +0.2% q/q expected

France’s economy stagnated in Q1 with preliminary GDP at 0.0% q/q versus +0.2% expected, according to INSEE (released 30 April 2026). The print, below forecasts and flat from the prior +0.2%, raises downside risk to growth as surging energy prices — exacerbated by disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz — are likely to weigh more heavily into Q2. Markets may interpret the data as a negative read on the euro-area outlook, increasing downside pressure on French equities (France 40) and the euro, and heightening recession concerns if geopolitical energy shocks persist.

Category

France 40

Sentiment

Bearish

Event

Market commentary

Reading time

1 min