EXCLUSIVE: Ryan Detrick Shares A Political Trend For 2026 That Has Produced 'Some Really Solid Returns'

Carson Group strategist Ryan Detrick says political cycles — specifically 2026’s midterm year and the second year of a second-term president — may influence S&P 500 performance but aren’t necessarily bearish. He notes midterm years have the largest peak-to-trough corrections yet average 31.7% gains one year later, while second years of second-term presidents have been positive 6-of-6 since 1950. Detrick expects the Fed to remain on pause, reducing rate-fear that previously capped markets, and argues these historical patterns support a constructive outlook. Carson Group forecasts S&P 500 gains of 12–15% for 2026. Overall the article conveys a bullish market view for the US SP 500 despite midterm-related volatility risk.