European Shares Poised For Soft Start Ahead Of US Jobs Data And Warsh Speech
European shares are expected to open lower as investors digest renewed U.S.-Iran tensions and wait for U.S. labor-market data that could shape Federal Reserve policy expectations. The article highlights fragile ceasefire negotiations, heightened Middle East risk, and the possibility that renewed oil-supply concerns could keep inflation elevated. U.S. futures were slightly weaker ahead of the ADP employment report and Friday’s nonfarm payrolls, while comments from Federal Reserve officials suggest policy may stay restrictive if inflation remains sticky. Markets currently assign about a 67% probability of a September rate hike. In Europe, the prior session’s record highs were driven by softer inflation and expectations the ECB will avoid further tightening, but Wednesday’s tone is more cautious. Overall, the setup points to pressure on risk assets, support for safe havens, and renewed sensitivity in global equities to macro data and geopolitics.