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European earnings growth running ahead of consensus, BofA says

Bank of America says European Q1 earnings are running ahead of consensus, with ~30% of Stoxx 600 companies reported and headline EPS growth running about 15% year‑on‑year versus a ~7% consensus. Tech, telecoms and energy — plus resource upgrades tied to the Iran war — are the main drivers, while healthcare and weak breadth (only 48% of companies beating estimates) temper the strength. Revenue growth remains subdued, implying earnings upside has been driven by margin expansion, though supply‑constraint mentions (10% of companies) pose rising margin risk. BofA’s macro view nevertheless flags medium‑term downside, projecting a c.9% fall in Stoxx 600 12‑month forward EPS by mid‑2026, suggesting near‑term support for European indices but increased risk to earnings and market performance into next year.

Category

Euro 50

Sentiment

Mixed

Event

Institutional outlook

Reading time

1 min