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Deutsche Bank Debunks 'Sell in May': S&P 500 Buy-Hold Beats It in 8 of Last 10 Years

Deutsche Bank's 'Myth Buster' latest dismisses 'Sell in May and go away', finding it beat S&P 500 buy-and-hold in just 22 of 53 years and underperformed in 8 of the last 10. Story started April 27 with BofA noting May-Oct avg 2.4% vs Nov-Apr 5.2% since 1928, but June-Aug strong at +3.3% and weakness only Aug-Oct (-0.02%). April 29 added Signal (double-digit May-Oct gains in 4 of 6 years; 6.1% avg from ATHs, 85% positive) and MarketWatch (up 25 of 33 periods since algo shifts). Consensus favors holding or tactical plays near highs over seasonal selling.

Category

US 500

Sentiment

Mixed

Event

Institutional outlook

Reading time

1 min