Bitcoin’s 500-Day Halving Rule Flashes Next Buy Signal in November 2026

The article argues that Bitcoin’s long-running 500-day halving cycle remains a useful timing model and suggests the next major accumulation window opens around late November 2026, roughly 500 days before the expected April 2028 halving. It notes the model correctly flagged the October 2025 cycle top near $126,296 and also matched prior cycle lows and highs. Bitcoin is currently trading near $62,675, about 50% below its 2025 record, which the article says still fits the historical pattern of progressively shallower bear markets. However, it also warns the model is based on only three full cycles and may be less reliable if the four-year rhythm is stretching. The piece frames late 2026 as a buy zone rather than a precise date, with the broader implication that Bitcoin’s next cycle low could arrive around then if the halving schedule and historical timing continue to hold.