Apple Has Unusual Put Options Activity - Has AAPL Stock Peaked Ahead of Earnings?
Apple (AAPL.OQ) is seeing unusually heavy put-option activity ahead of its April 30 earnings, with intraday put volumes 27x–42x normal, signaling near-term bearish positioning and higher expected volatility. AAPL traded at $272.83 midday (April 20) after rising ~10% from a March 30 trough. Some puts (e.g., $275 expiring today) carry $2.58 premiums (breakeven $272.42), and shorter-dated $272.50 puts show premiums implying breakevens around $271.56–$270.33. Despite the options flow suggesting short-term caution, valuation analysis and analyst price targets remain above the current price (average PT ~$297.46), and a discounted FCF-based scenario implies upside to ~$395.60 (+45%). The unusual options activity could present income/entry strategies for sellers but also warns of potential downside risk into earnings, making AAPL likely to experience elevated volatility in the near term.