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A Trump Bull Market Correction May Be Coming. Here's What 150 Years of Data Says.

The article warns that the Shiller CAPE ratio for the S&P 500 has climbed to 36.48 — well above the historical warning level of 24 — and argues this has a flawless 150-year record of preceding major market downturns. While not predicting an immediate crash, the piece says the high CAPE makes a significant correction or bear market likely (potentially before President Trump leaves office). It notes the CAPE is near its all-time high of 44.2 and flags elevated valuation risk for the S&P 500, suggesting investors should be cautious despite recent market gains.

Category

US 500

Sentiment

Bearish

Event

Forecast

Reading time

1 min