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A Hawkish Fed and a Dovish SNB Are Driving Gains in USDCHF

USDCHF is trading with a bullish bias after rising 1.3% this week and more than 3.3% in June, driven by a stronger US dollar and a weaker Swiss franc. The article argues that a hawkish Federal Reserve tone, especially comments emphasizing price stability and the fight against inflation, has lifted expectations for possible future US rate hikes and supported the dollar. At the same time, the Swiss National Bank kept rates at 0% and signaled readiness to intervene in FX markets to prevent excessive franc strength, which pressured CHF. The piece says the pair could stay supported if US inflation remains elevated and the Fed remains restrictive, while renewed geopolitical risk could revive safe-haven demand for CHF. Overall, diverging central bank policies favor further USDCHF upside in the near term.

Category

USD/CHF

Sentiment

Bullish

Event

Market commentary

Reading time

1 min