25% chance the S&P 500 will hit 8,000 in 2026 – Kalshi

Prediction market Kalshi shows a ~26.3% probability that the S&P 500 (US SP 500) will reach 8,000 or higher before year-end, up from roughly 10% at the end of March. The shift reflects growing bullish sentiment among bettors and could influence market psychology, positioning and risk pricing if momentum continues. The article notes the current S&P level around 7,161, indicating the market would need a substantial rally to reach the 8,000 mark. Overall, the piece highlights evolving odds in prediction markets as a barometer of investor optimism rather than a direct market mover.